South Dakota St.
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
87  Joel Reichow SR 31:47
315  Trevor Capra SR 32:33
401  Kyle Burdick SO 32:43
404  Ayub Kassim SO 32:44
482  Chase Cayo FR 32:54
504  Brendan Sage SR 32:55
1,345  Micah Mather FR 34:12
1,774  Lukas Nelson FR 34:47
2,246  Eric Janssen JR 35:40
2,401  Connor Haaland FR 36:00
National Rank #50 of 312
Midwest Region Rank #7 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.8%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.2%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 12.4%
Top 10 in Regional 98.4%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Joel Reichow Trevor Capra Kyle Burdick Ayub Kassim Chase Cayo Brendan Sage Micah Mather Lukas Nelson Eric Janssen Connor Haaland
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 830 31:54 32:21 32:43 33:02 32:38 34:23 35:49 35:48
SDSU Classic 10/01 1060 32:48 33:22 32:53 33:30 33:05 33:50 35:20 34:57
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 34:48 35:19 36:46
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 766 31:27 32:39 32:19 32:38 32:56 35:27
Summit League Championship 10/29 965 32:31 32:48 33:00 32:38 33:10 33:22 34:15 35:03 37:51
Midwest Region Championships 11/11 716 31:39 32:25 32:25 32:14 32:41 32:53 33:37





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.8% 27.0 666 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.2
Region Championship 100% 7.2 208 0.1 0.3 1.0 3.4 7.8 16.0 33.5 21.1 11.3 4.2 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Reichow 55.3% 77.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2
Trevor Capra 1.8% 159.0
Kyle Burdick 1.8% 186.5
Ayub Kassim 1.8% 201.5
Chase Cayo 1.8% 198.8
Brendan Sage 1.8% 206.8
Micah Mather 2.4% 250.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Reichow 7.6 3.6 9.8 7.9 7.0 6.9 6.2 6.0 4.5 4.9 3.7 3.7 2.7 3.1 2.9 2.4 2.1 2.1 2.2 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.7 1.4 0.9 1.1
Trevor Capra 39.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.1
Kyle Burdick 49.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9
Ayub Kassim 50.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7
Chase Cayo 58.9 0.1 0.2 0.1
Brendan Sage 61.2 0.1 0.1
Micah Mather 139.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 2
3 1.0% 40.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 3
4 3.4% 14.9% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.9 0.5 4
5 7.8% 4.5% 0.1 0.2 0.2 7.4 0.4 5
6 16.0% 0.6% 0.1 0.1 15.9 0.1 6
7 33.5% 0.3% 0.1 0.1 33.4 0.1 7
8 21.1% 21.1 8
9 11.3% 11.3 9
10 4.2% 4.2 10
11 1.1% 1.1 11
12 0.4% 0.4 12
13 0.2% 0.2 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 1.8% 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 98.3 0.3 1.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Eastern Kentucky 82.3% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 81.2% 1.0 0.8
Princeton 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Illinois 32.4% 1.0 0.3
Furman 4.4% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.7% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.9
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0